Polymarket
Polymarket business and news from across the web.
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How a 5-Second Binance Move Turned Polymarket Settlements Into an $8.2M Payday
Researchers from Stanford University and Singapore Management University have identified that 821 accounts exploited settlement windows on Polymarket's prediction markets, extracting $8.2 million through market manipulation. The exploit involved manipulating prices on Binance during settlement windows to ensure favorable contract resolutions. Polymarket has since updated its settlement mechanics to a time-weighted average price (TWAP) to prevent future manipulation, a change that took months of trader complaints and academic research to implement.
Sunday Metaverse
The corporate structure of Polymarket, a prediction market platform, remains unclear even to some former employees. The article delves into the mysteries surrounding its organizational setup and operations.
France doubles down on restricting access to Polymarket
France's gambling authority has ordered internet service providers to block access to the prediction market website Polymarket. This action signifies a doubling down on restrictions for accessing the platform within the country.
Best Sports Betting Sites in Texas: Top TX Sportsbooks for 2026 - Walkthrough, Tips, Review
This guide reviews the top offshore sports betting sites available to Texas residents in 2026, as the state currently lacks a regulated market. BetOnline is highlighted as the overall best option, with Bovada noted for prop bets and BetAnything for fast payouts. The article details welcome bonuses, banking options including cryptocurrency, and mobile betting experiences, while also touching on DFS and social sportsbooks as alternatives.
Meta wants to get into the prediction market game
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg is reportedly exploring the development of a standalone prediction market app, codenamed Arena. Unlike existing platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, Arena would utilize a points and ranking system rather than real-money bets. The app would operate independently but leverage Meta's existing social media user base for growth.
Morning Metaverse
Polymarket has reportedly been paying creators to produce and post fake betting videos, according to Engadget. This practice aims to generate revenue on the platform by misleading users into believing they are participating in legitimate betting scenarios.
Polymarket has reportedly been paying creators to post fake betting videos
Polymarket has reportedly been paying creators to produce and post fake betting videos. The Wall Street Journal reviewed over a thousand videos and creator guidelines, indicating a coordinated effort to disseminate misleading content.
Google employee accused of making $1 million from insider trading on Polymarket
A Google employee is accused of making approximately $1 million through insider trading on the Polymarket platform. The details of the alleged illegal activity are currently under investigation.
Spain blocks Polymarket and Kalshi as it investigates prediction market platforms
Spanish authorities have blocked access to prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi as part of an ongoing investigation. This action follows similar regulatory attempts by US states, though the federal government has not taken the same stance.
Morning Legal Briefs
The United States is employing Artificial Intelligence to detect insider trading activities on the Polymarket platform. This initiative aims to enhance regulatory oversight and prevent unauthorized expansions of insider trading classes.
The Morning After: Polymarket and a hairdryer
This article covers multiple developments including alleged rigging of bets on the prediction market Polymarket using temperature data, and a US soldier arrested for using classified information to bet on political events. It also reports on Microsoft's decision to cut Xbox Game Pass prices while excluding new Call of Duty titles from day-one availability, and Anker's development of its own AI chip for consumer electronics.
US soldier arrested for allegedly making over $400,000 on Polymarket with classified Maduro information
A United States Army Special Forces master sergeant, Gannon Ken Van Dyke, has been arrested for allegedly using classified information to make over $400,000 on the prediction marketplace Polymarket. He placed bets related to the capture of former Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, profiting significantly before the operation's public announcement. Van Dyke faces multiple charges including violations of the Commodity Exchange Act and wire fraud.
Someone allegedly used a hairdryer to rig Polymarket weather bets
An investigation by The Telegraph reveals allegations that a hairdryer was used to manipulate weather bets on the Polymarket platform at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris. French authorities have filed a complaint after temperature readings spiked unusually, leading to significant payouts for gamblers who bet on these fluctuations. The temperature sensor has since been relocated.
Google has reportedly started to add Polymarket data to News results
Google has reportedly begun integrating data from the prediction market Polymarket into its Google News results. These integrations appear as large blocks with links to Polymarket, sometimes surfacing as top results for trending topics. While Google announced a partnership with Polymarket and Kalshi for its finance platform in November, the integration into Google News was not explicitly stated.
CFTC sues three states for trying to regulate prediction markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is suing Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut for attempting to regulate prediction markets, asserting its exclusive jurisdiction. The CFTC views these markets as trading in futures contracts, distinct from illegal gambling, while the states argue they are overstepping their authority. The lawsuit highlights ongoing disputes over the classification and oversight of prediction markets, with potential implications for market participants and regulatory frameworks.
Polymarket provides updated rules to address insider trading on its predictive market
Polymarket is updating its Terms of Use to address concerns about insider trading on its predictive market. This comes amid ongoing speculation regarding the federal regulation of such platforms.
Evening Metaverse
Polymarket has updated its rules to address insider trading. Separately, Walmart and Vizio are revealing their combined streaming advertising strategy, while Google is discontinuing a notable service.
Polymarket is cracking down on insider trading with updated rules
Prediction market Polymarket has updated its market integrity rules to more strictly address insider trading and market manipulation. The new regulations target trading on stolen confidential information, illegal tips, and by individuals with influence over an event's outcome. Polymarket will increase surveillance and enforcement, with potential penalties including wallet bans, law enforcement referrals, and monetary fines.